Monday, December 31, 2007

New Year's Eve

The Rural Life

New Year’s Eve

Published: December 31, 2007

At midnight tonight, the horses on this farm will age a year. That is the custom — every horse has the same birthday, Jan. 1. Like all things calendrical, this is a human convention. When it comes to equine conventions, I know enough to notice some of the simpler forms of precedence: who goes first through a gate, who gets to the grain feeder ahead of the others. But I can report that the horses make no fuss about their common birthday or the coming of the new year. Tonight, like any other, they will be standing, dozing on their feet, ears tipping back and forth at the slightest of sounds.

There is something deeply gratifying about joining the horses in their pasture a few minutes before the clock strikes 12 on New Year’s Eve. What makes the night exceptional, in their eyes and mine, is my presence among them, not the lapsing of an old year.

It’s worth standing out in the snow just to savor the anticlimax of midnight, just to acknowledge that out of the tens of millions of species on this planet, only one bothers to celebrate not the passing of time, but the way it has chosen to mark the passing of time. I remember the resolutions I made when I was younger. I find myself thinking that one way to describe nature is a realm where resolutions have no meaning.

It’s not that time isn’t passing or that the night doesn’t show it. The stars are wheeling around Polaris, and the sugar maples that frame the pasture are laying down another cellular increment in their annual rings. The geese stir in the poultry yard. A hemlock sheds its snow. No two nights are ever the same.

I always wonder what it would be like to belong to a species — just for a while — that isn’t so busy indexing its life, that lives wholly within the single long strand of its being. I will never have even an idea of what that’s like.

I know because when I stand among the horses tonight, I will feel a change once midnight has come. Some need will have vanished, and I will walk back to the house — lights burning, smoke coming from the wood stove — as if something had been accomplished, some episode closed.

VERLYN KLINKENBORG



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Sunday, December 30, 2007

Knowing Too Much

Bright Ideas

Innovative Minds Don’t Think Alike

Published: December 30, 2007

IT’S a pickle of a paradox: As our knowledge and expertise increase, our creativity and ability to innovate tend to taper off. Why? Because the walls of the proverbial box in which we think are thickening along with our experience.

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Igor Kopelnitsky

Andrew S. Grove, the co-founder of Intel, put it well in 2005 when he told an interviewer from Fortune, “When everybody knows that something is so, it means that nobody knows nothin’.” In other words, it becomes nearly impossible to look beyond what you know and think outside the box you’ve built around yourself.

This so-called curse of knowledge, a phrase used in a 1989 paper in The Journal of Political Economy, means that once you’ve become an expert in a particular subject, it’s hard to imagine not knowing what you do. Your conversations with others in the field are peppered with catch phrases and jargon that are foreign to the uninitiated. When it’s time to accomplish a task — open a store, build a house, buy new cash registers, sell insurance — those in the know get it done the way it has always been done, stifling innovation as they barrel along the well-worn path.

Elizabeth Newton, a psychologist, conducted an experiment on the curse of knowledge while working on her doctorate at Stanford in 1990. She gave one set of people, called “tappers,” a list of commonly known songs from which to choose. Their task was to rap their knuckles on a tabletop to the rhythm of the chosen tune as they thought about it in their heads. A second set of people, called “listeners,” were asked to name the songs.

Before the experiment began, the tappers were asked how often they believed that the listeners would name the songs correctly. On average, tappers expected listeners to get it right about half the time. In the end, however, listeners guessed only 3 of 120 songs tapped out, or 2.5 percent.

The tappers were astounded. The song was so clear in their minds; how could the listeners not “hear” it in their taps?

That’s a common reaction when experts set out to share their ideas in the business world, too, says Chip Heath, who with his brother, Dan, was a co-author of the 2007 book “Made to Stick: Why Some Ideas Survive and Others Die.” It’s why engineers design products ultimately useful only to other engineers. It’s why managers have trouble convincing the rank and file to adopt new processes. And it’s why the advertising world struggles to convey commercial messages to consumers.

“I HAVE a DVD remote control with 52 buttons on it, and every one of them is there because some engineer along the line knew how to use that button and believed I would want to use it, too,” Mr. Heath says. “People who design products are experts cursed by their knowledge, and they can’t imagine what it’s like to be as ignorant as the rest of us.”

But there are proven ways to exorcise the curse.

In their book, the Heath brothers outline six “hooks” that they say are guaranteed to communicate a new idea clearly by transforming it into what they call a Simple Unexpected Concrete Credentialed Emotional Story. Each of the letters in the resulting acronym, Succes, refers to a different hook. (“S,” for example, suggests simplifying the message.) Although the hooks of “Made to Stick” focus on the art of communication, there are ways to fashion them around fostering innovation.

To innovate, Mr. Heath says, you have to bring together people with a variety of skills. If those people can’t communicate clearly with one another, innovation gets bogged down in the abstract language of specialization and expertise. “It’s kind of like the ugly American tourist trying to get across an idea in another country by speaking English slowly and more loudly,” he says. “You’ve got to find the common connections.”

In her 2006 book, “Innovation Killer: How What We Know Limits What We Can Imagine — and What Smart Companies Are Doing About It,” Cynthia Barton Rabe proposes bringing in outsiders whom she calls zero-gravity thinkers to keep creativity and innovation on track.

When experts have to slow down and go back to basics to bring an outsider up to speed, she says, “it forces them to look at their world differently and, as a result, they come up with new solutions to old problems.”

She cites as an example the work of a colleague at Ralston Purina who moved to Eveready in the mid-1980s when Ralston bought that company. At the time, Eveready had become a household name because of its sales since the 1950s of inexpensive red plastic and metal flashlights. But by the mid-1980s, the flashlight business, which had been aimed solely at men shopping at hardware stores, was foundering.

While Ms. Rabe’s colleague had no experience with flashlights, she did have plenty of experience in consumer packaging and marketing from her years at Ralston Purina. She proceeded to revamp the flashlight product line to include colors like pink, baby blue and light green — colors that would appeal to women — and began distributing them through grocery store chains.

“It was not incredibly popular as a decision amongst the old guard at Eveready,” Ms. Rabe says. But after the changes, she says, “the flashlight business took off and was wildly successful for many years after that.”

MS. RABE herself experienced similar problems while working as a transient “zero-gravity thinker” at Intel.

“I would ask my very, very basic questions,” she said, noting that it frustrated some of the people who didn’t know her. Once they got past that point, however, “it always turned out that we could come up with some terrific ideas,” she said.

While Ms. Rabe usually worked inside the companies she discussed in her book, she said outside consultants could also serve the zero-gravity role, but only if their expertise was not identical to that of the group already working on the project.

“Look for people with renaissance-thinker tendencies, who’ve done work in a related area but not in your specific field,” she says. “Make it possible for someone who doesn’t report directly to that area to come in and say the emperor has no clothes.”

Janet Rae-Dupree writes about science and emerging technology in Silicon Valley.



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Friday, December 28, 2007

Skin Care

Skin Deep

Fountain of Youth? Go Wash Your Face

Published: December 27, 2007

IN my job as this newspaper’s resident beauty skeptic, I receive a lot of books about longevity with preposterous titles like “Stop Aging, Start Living,” “The New Anti-Aging Revolution: Stopping the Clock” and “The Science of Staying Young.”

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Tony Cenicola/The New York Times

Photo Illustration by Bruno Vincent/Getty Images

Filip Kwiatkowski for The New York Times

Emily Harris/Bloomberg News

Lars Klove for The New York Times

John-Francis Bourke/Zefa/Corbis

These books contain some practical advice. But at this stage of medical knowledge, you have about as much chance of thwarting time as you do in personally preventing an ice storm, so you can start your resolutions for the New Year right now by forgoing such books and saving about $24.95 (for a hardcover) apiece.

There is no way around the fact that every body — skin included — ages biologically over time, a process over which humans have forever grieved. “It is the blight man was born for,” the poet Gerard Manley Hopkins wrote in 1880, anticipating the Botox era.

Still, many skin experts recommend practical steps to maintain skin as it ages and to mitigate external factors — like sun exposure and chronic stress — that could accelerate changes.

These eight skin-care resolutions for 2008 are simple and inexpensive. Research in medical journals supports some of them. Others are based on the experience of skin doctors.

DISCARD OLD, USED BEAUTY PRODUCTS

Because people may transfer bacteria from their fingers to pots of face cream, possibly leading to the growth of micro-organisms, some dermatologists recommend discarding products one year after opening them. Because micro-organisms may also grow in mascara tubes, creating the risk of eye infection, experts recommend replacing mascara three months after opening it, according to the Web site of the Food and Drug Administrationwww.cfsan.fda.gov/~dms/cos-207.html.The agency does not oblige cosmetics manufacturers to print expiration dates on product labels sold in the United States. But European regulations require products whose minimum durability is less than 30 months to display an icon — a graphic of a jar with an open lid — indicating a product’s shelf life after it has been opened. Some brands sold in the United States now display this icon.

STOP SMOKING

What’s good for your lungs may also may have positive effects on your skin.

Some dermatologists, for example, said that the nonsmokers among their patients generally had younger-looking skin than smokers, whose skin appeared to have aged prematurely.

“You often see more vertical wrinkles above the lip, where smokers pucker, and lines around the eyes because smokers tend to squint to keep the smoke out,” said Dr. Hema A. Sundaram, a dermatologist in Rockville, Md., and Fairfax, Va. “And sometimes smokers have sallower skin.”

But the research into such observations is conflicting. One study published in England, based on interviews and physical examinations of elderly patients, suggested that smoking a pack a day over decades was associated with skin changes like wrinkles that added the equivalent of almost a decade of chronological aging to the face. But another study in Finland, in which researchers performed biopsies on the arm skin of volunteers, found no difference in skin elasticity between smokers and nonsmokers.

Several other studies have linked smoking to an increased risk of skin cancer. But doctors said it is not clear whether smoking per se may increase the risk of skin cancer or whether smokers tend to sunbathe more than nonsmokers.

UNHAND THOSE PIMPLES!

For those who can’t help squeezing their pimples, think again.

“People think they are squeezing something bad out, but they could actually be pushing bacteria deeper into their skin, creating an infection,” said Dr. Bradford R. Katchen, a dermatologist in Manhattan. Subsequent inflammation could cause pigmentary changes, or worse. “It could scar your face,” Dr. Katchen said. The same goes for your zit-popping beautician.

MORE SLEEP, LESS STRESS

Psychological stress may impair the skin’s barrier function, which keeps bacteria out and water in.

In one study, for example, researchers used tape to strip a small patch of skin from 25 women who volunteered to participate in mock interviews and 11 women who volunteered for one night of sleep deprivation. Such temporary stress caused the volunteers’ skin to recover more slowly than without stress, according to the study, published in 2001 in the Journal of Investigative Dermatology.

“Studies have shown that the skin of people under chronic stress — caregivers of Alzheimer’s patients or medical students during exam time — will heal more slowly,” said Dr. Ladan Mostaghimi, an assistant professor of dermatology at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. Dr. Mostaghimi published a study in 2005 in the Journal of Sleep Research reporting that severely sleep-deprived lab rats developed lesions on their paws and tails while rested rats did not.

In humans, stress can contribute to flare-ups of alopecia areata, a form of hair loss, and skin diseases like psoriasis and atopic dermatitis, a form of eczema, Dr. Mostaghimi said.

WEAR SUNSCREEN

Clinical studies show that using sunscreen regularly can impede the development of squamous cell carcinoma, a type of skin cancer. Less conclusive evidence suggests that sunscreen might also hamper basal cell carcinoma and melanoma, the deadliest form of skin cancer.

But dermatologists encourage patients to make sunscreen a habit for another purpose: vanity. Sunscreen use may inhibit sun-induced changes to the skin’s pigment and texture.

“If you look at your derrière when you come out of the shower, it’s obvious that the texture is smoother and the coloration is more uniform than your face, which gets regular sun exposure,” Dr. Katchen said.

Look for sunscreens that contain zinc oxide, titanium dioxide or Mexoryl SX, ingredients that work against both the sun’s longer- and shorter-length rays.

SIMPLIFY YOUR BEAUTY

Some dermatologists advise their patients to restrict skin-care regimens to no more than three or four products daily.

“People use too many acidic things at once — vitamin A, lactic acid, ascorbic acid, salicylic acid — and then they wonder why their faces are inflamed,” Dr. Katchen said. “I am against poly-pharmacy at home because you can over-treat yourself, leading to irritation.”

Dr. Katchen’s prescription: a mild cleanser; a sunscreen or moisturizer containing sunscreen; a product that contains antioxidants like vitamin C, vitamin E, pomegranate, soy and green tea; and an antiwrinkle product containing ingredients like retinoids, a form of vitamin A, or protein fragments called peptides.

WASH YOUR FACE

Doctors say that skin picks up environmental debris during the day. Washing off minute dirt particles, along with makeup, every evening gives the skin a rest from exposure to possible irritants.

“As a general hygiene principle, it’s good to wash your face at night,” Dr. Sundaram said. “But if you apply a greasy night cream after that, it is just going to clog your pores.”

Those about to undergo a magnetic resonance imaging test should also remember to remove makeup; imaging devices can mistake metal particles, used in some mascaras, for ocular diseases, according to reports in medical journals.

RETHINK PRODUCTS THAT COST MORE THAN $30

The Food and Drug Administration, which regulates cosmetics, does not require beauty manufacturers to publish rigorous studies on the efficacy of their products. So consumers do not have a proven, objective method by which to determine whether more-expensive beauty products work better — or whether they simply look fancier and emit more exotic perfume — than less-expensive items containing similar ingredients.

(Manufacturers of prescription products must submit clinical evidence of their efficacy before receiving approval from the F.D.A.)

“Your chances of achieving good skin are not directly proportional to the amount of money you spend,” Dr. Sundaram said. “All too often, what you are paying for is the packaging, the advertising and the celebrity endorsements.”

I’m declaring 2008 the Year of the Drugstore.



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Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Altzheimer's Predictors

Six Killers: Alzheimer’s Disease

Scientists Want to Find Alzheimer’s Before a Mind Fails

Gerik Parmele for The New York Times

Dianne Kerley is tending to her mother, who has Alzheimer’s disease, and helping Alzheimer’s researchers.

Published: December 26, 2007

For a perfectly healthy woman, Dianne Kerley has had quite a few medical tests in recent years: M.R.I. and PET scans of her brain, two spinal taps and hours of memory and thinking tests.

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Six Killers

Alzheimer’s Disease

This series examines the leading causes of illness and death in the United States: heart disease, cancer, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes and Alzheimer’s.

Previous Articles in the Series »

Times Health Guide: Alzheimer's Disease

Expert Q&A

Readers’ Questions About Alzheimer's

Dr. John C. Morris, director of the Alzheimer's disease research center at Washington University in St. Louis, is answering readers' questions.

Gerik Parmele for The New York Times

Kerley, 52, washes the hand of her 78-year-old mother.

Ms. Kerley, 52, has spent much of her life in the shadow of an illness that gradually destroys memory, personality and the ability to think, speak and live independently. Her mother, grandmother and a maternal great-aunt all developed Alzheimer’s disease. Her mother, 78, is in a nursing home in the advanced stages of dementia, helpless and barely responsive.

“She’s in her own private purgatory,” Ms. Kerley said.

Ms. Kerley is part of an ambitious new scientific effort to find ways to detect Alzheimer’s disease at the earliest possible moment. Although the disease may seem like a calamity that strikes suddenly in old age, scientists now think it begins long before the mind fails.

“Alzheimer’s disease may be a chronic condition in which changes begin in midlife or even earlier,” said Dr. John C. Morris, director of the Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center at Washington University in St. Louis, where Ms. Kerley volunteers for studies.

But currently, the diagnosis is not made until symptoms develop, and by then it may already be too late to rescue the brain. Drugs now in use temporarily ease symptoms for some, but cannot halt the underlying disease.

Many scientists believe the best hope of progress, maybe the only hope, lies in detecting the disease early and devising treatments to stop it before brain damage becomes extensive. Better still, they would like to intervene even sooner, by identifying risk factors and treating people preventively — the same strategy that has markedly lowered death rates from heart disease, stroke and some cancers.

So far, Alzheimer’s has been unyielding. But research now under way may start answering major questions about when the disease begins and how best to fight it.

A radioactive dye called PIB (for Pittsburgh Compound B) has made it possible to use PET scans to find deposits of amyloid, an Alzheimer’s-related protein, in the brains of live human beings. It may lead to earlier diagnosis, help doctors distinguish Alzheimer’s from other forms of dementia and let them monitor the effects of treatment.

Studies with the dye have already found significant deposits in 20 percent to 25 percent of seemingly normal people over 65, suggesting that they may be on the way to Alzheimer’s, though only time will tell.

“PIB is about the future of where Alzheimer’s disease needs to be,” said Dr. William E. Klunk, a co-discoverer of the dye at the Alzheimer’s research center at the University of Pittsburgh. “PIB is being used today to help determine whether drugs that are meant to prevent or remove amyloid from the brain are working, so we can find drugs that prevent the underlying pathology of the disease.”

Though PIB is experimental now, studies began in November that are intended to lead to government approval for wider use.

Currently, for the most common form of Alzheimer’s disease, which occurs after age 65, there is no proven means of early detection, no definitive genetic test. But PIB tests might be ready before new treatments emerge, making it possible to predict who will develop Alzheimer’s — without being able to help.

Researchers are also using M.R.I. scans to look for early brain changes, and testing blood and spinal fluid for amyloid and other “biomarkers” to see if they can be used to predict Alzheimer’s or find it early.

Studies of families in which multiple members have dementia are helping to sort out the genetic underpinnings of the disease.

Finally, experiments are under way to find out whether drugs and vaccines can remove amyloid from the brain or prevent its buildup, and whether doing so would help patients. The new drugs, unlike the ones now available, have the potential to stop or slow the progress of the disease. At the very least, the drug studies will be the first real test of the leading theory of Alzheimer’s, which blames amyloid for setting off a chain of events that ultimately ruin the brain.

Some scientists doubt the amyloid theory, but even a staunch skeptic said the studies were important.

Among the skeptics is Dr. Peter Davies, a professor at Albert Einstein Medical College, who said: “You’ve got to try. Somebody’s going to get this right.”

But if the amyloid hypothesis does not hold up, much of Alzheimer’s research could wind up back at Square 1.

Answers are urgently needed. Alzheimer’s was first recognized 100 years ago, and in all that time science has been completely unable to change the course of the disease. Desperate families spend more than $1 billion a year on drugs approved for Alzheimer’s that generally have only small effects, if any, on symptoms. Patients’ agitation and hallucinations often drive relatives and nursing homes to resort to additional, powerful drugs approved for other diseases like schizophrenia, drugs that can deepen the oblivion and cause severe side effects like diabetes, stroke and movement disorders.

Alzheimer’s is the most common cause of dementia (artery disease, Parkinson’s and other brain disorders can also lead to dementia). Five million people in the United States have Alzheimer’s, most of them over 65. It is the nation’s sixth leading cause of death by disease, killing nearly 66,000 people a year and probably contributing to many more deaths. By 2050, according to the Alzheimer’s Association, 11 million to 16 million Americans will have the disease. “Sixteen million is a future we can’t countenance,” said William H. Thies, the association’s vice president for medical and scientific relations. “It will bankrupt our health care system.”

The costs are already enormous, $148 billion a year — more than three times the cost of chronic lung disease, even though Alzheimer’s kills only half as many people. To a great extent, increases in dementia are the price of progress: more and more people are living long enough to get Alzheimer’s, some because they survived heart disease, strokes or cancer. It is a cruel trade-off. The disease is by no means inevitable, but among people 85 and older, about 40 percent develop Alzheimer’s and spend their so-called golden years in a thicket of confusion, ultimately becoming incontinent, mute, bedridden or forced to use a wheelchair and completely dependent on others.

“It makes people wonder whether they really want to live that long,” Dr. Klunk said.

The potential market for prevention and treatment is enormous, and drug companies are eager to exploit it. If a drug could prevent Alzheimer’s or just reduce the risk, as statins like Lipitor do for heart disease, half the population over 55 would probably need to take it, Dr. Thies said.

If new drugs do emerge, they will come from studies in patients who already have symptoms, Dr. Thies said. But he said the emphasis would quickly shift to treating people at risk, before symptoms set in. Many researchers doubt that even the best preventive drugs will be able to heal the brains of people who are already demented.

Treating preventively, Dr. Thies said, “will be more satisfying to patients and physicians, and there will be an economic incentive because you’ll wind up treating more people.”

The only thing that could slow the drive for early treatment, he said, would be serious side effects — and Dr. Morris, at Washington University, said drugs powerful enough to treat Alzheimer’s would probably have strong side effects.

Researchers are especially eager to study people like Ms. Kerley, because the children of Alzheimer’s patients have a higher-than-average risk of dementia themselves, and tracking their brains and minds may open a window onto the earliest stages of the disease.

“I want to do anything I can possibly do to help find a cure or find a way to identify it earlier,” Ms. Kerley said. “We need to stop this. I don’t know if it will help my generation, but it will help my son’s.”

She figures that being a research subject may have advantages, too.

“We’re the first ones in line,” she said. “If I am genetically predisposed, and they have a preventive medication, they’ll tell me right away.”

Alzheimer’s Beginnings

Some forgetfulness is normal. Distraction, stress, fatigue and medications can contribute. A joking rule of thumb about Alzheimer’s is actually close to the truth: it’s O.K. to forget where you put your car keys, as long as you remember what a key is for. But worsening forgetfulness is a cause for concern.

Doctors use standard memory and reasoning tests to diagnose dementia, along with symptoms reported by the patient and family members. The term “mild cognitive impairment” is sometimes applied to small but measurable memory problems. But its meaning is unclear: some studies find that the impairment can resolve itself, while others suggest that it always progresses to dementia.

Even if older patients think more slowly or take longer to remember, as long as they can still function independently, they are not demented, Dr. Morris said.

In her heart, Ms. Kerley suspects that her mother’s Alzheimer’s disease began long before the official diagnosis in 2001 or even the tentative one in 1995 — years before, maybe decades. She wonders if the disease might explain, at least in part, her mother’s difficult personality and lack of interest in reading or education.

When does Alzheimer’s begin? The question haunts families and captivates scientists.

Dr. Morris said, “We think that by the time an individual begins to experience memory loss, there is already substantial brain damage in areas critical to memory and learning.”

No one knows whether the disease affects thinking, mood or personality before memory fails. Researchers think that the brain, like other vital organs, has a huge reserve capacity that can, at least for a time, hide the fact that a disease is steadily destroying it.

“I’m speculating that it does affect you throughout life,” said Dr. Richard Mayeux, a professor of neurology, psychiatry and epidemiology at Columbia University, and co-director of its Taub Institute for Research on Alzheimer’s Disease and the Aging Brain. “I think there’s a very long phase where people aren’t themselves.”

If Dr. Mayeux asks family members when a patient’s memory problem began, they almost always say it started a year and a half before. If he then asks when was the last time they thought the patient’s memory was perfectly normal, many reply that the patient never really had a great memory.

Several studies in which people had intelligence tests early in life and were then evaluated decades later have found that compared with the healthy people, those with Alzheimer’s had lower scores on the early tests.

“It raises the possibility for me that this is a genetic disorder that starts early in life,” Dr. Mayeux said.

He said those findings also made him wonder about the widely dispensed advice to read, take courses, solve puzzles and stay mentally active to ward off Alzheimer’s. The advice is based on studies showing that highly educated people have a lower risk of Alzheimer’s than do less-accomplished ones. But does that mean that mental activity prevents Alzheimer’s — or vice versa?

‘I Have Lost Myself’

The disease is named for Alois Alzheimer, a German doctor who first described it in Auguste D., a 51-year-old patient he saw in 1901. Her memory, speech and comprehension were failing, and she suffered from hallucinations and paranoid delusions that her husband was unfaithful. Unable to finish writing her own name, she told Alzheimer, “I have lost myself.”

She died in 1906, “completely apathetic,” curled up in a fetal position and “in spite of all the care and attention,” suffering from bedsores, Alzheimer wrote.

A century later, patients still die in much the same way. Although Alzheimer’s itself can kill by shutting down vital brain functions, infections usually end things first — pneumonia, bladder infections, sepsis from bedsores.

When Alzheimer dissected Auguste’s brain, he found it markedly shrunken, a wasteland of dead and dying nerve cells littered with strange deposits.

There were two types of deposits, plaques and tangles. Plaques occur between nerve cells, and are now known to consist of clumps of beta amyloid, an abnormal protein. Tangles form inside nerve cells, and are made of a protein called tau that is normally part of a system of tubules that carry nutrients to feed the cell. Once tau is damaged, the nerve cells essentially starve to death.

Until the 1970s Alzheimer’s disease was considered a rare brain disorder that mysteriously struck younger people like Auguste D.

It was thought to be different from “senility,” which was assumed to be a consequence of aging. But then researchers compared the brains of younger people who had died of Alzheimer’s with those of elderly people who had been senile, and discovered the same pathology — plaques and tangles. Senility, they decided, was not a natural part of aging; it was a disease.

The Amyloid Hypothesis

The leading theory of Alzheimer’s says that beta amyloid, or A-beta, is the main culprit, building gradually in the brain over decades and short-circuiting synapses, the junctions where nerve cells transmit signals to one other. Gradually, the theory goes, the cells quit working and die.

Everybody produces A-beta, but its purpose is not known. People who develop Alzheimer’s either make too much or cannot get rid of it. Although scientists once blamed plaques for all the trouble, more recent research suggests that the real toxins are smaller bundles of A-beta molecules that form long before plaques do.

Dr. Dennis J. Selkoe, a professor of neurologic diseases at Harvard, said that just as lowering cholesterol can prevent heart disease, lowering A-beta may prevent Alzheimer’s or slow it, particularly in the early stages — provided that drugs can be created to do the job.

Several drugs and vaccines are now being tested that either block the production of A-beta or help the body get rid of it.

Researchers are also testing anti-amyloid antibodies, which are proteins made by the immune system, as well as blood serum that contains the antibodies.

Eventually, Dr. Selkoe said, screening tests for Alzheimer’s “will be like getting an EKG in the doctor’s office at 45 or 50, and you’ll start treating right away to prevent Alzheimer’s rather than treat it.”

Other researchers are less enthusiastic, noting that there have been numerous failures and disappointments along the way. A vaccine study had to be halted in 2002 because 18 of 300 patients developed encephalitis, and 2 died. Some scientists worry that anti-amyloid vaccines in general could be dangerous, in part because the role of amyloid is not well understood and the brain may actually need it.

No Choice but to Cope

Even if current research yields new drugs, there is not likely to be a miracle pill that will bring people back from deep dementia. For now, there is no choice but to cope with the disease. Seventy percent of Alzheimer’s patients are cared for at home, and millions of families are struggling to look after them, piecing together a patchwork of relatives, friends, paid health aides and adult day-care programs.

Barbara Latshaw, 79, lives with her husband, David, and her sister in Crafton, Pa., near Pittsburgh. Ms. Latshaw, whose dementia was diagnosed in 1991, has not spoken in four years, and she can no longer smile. But she locks eyes with visitors and will not let go.

“There is still something alive in there,” said her sister, Fritzie Hess, 69. “I’m convinced of it.”

The family believes that, at least some of the time, she still understands them. They speak to her as if she does. She is with them, and yet gone, and they miss her terribly.

“We hope to keep her here at home until she passes on,” Ms. Hess said. “She’s a joy to us.”

Many families hope to keep Alzheimer’s patients at home, but not all can manage it, especially if family members have to go work or patients become combative, incontinent, immobile or unable to sleep at night.

“There are three of us taking care of my sister, and it works out beautifully,” Ms. Hess said. “We spell each other. I don’t know how these spouses manage, when it’s one on one.”

Ms. Hess and her brother-in-law are retired, and Ms. Latshaw’s daughter, Becky Bannon, 53, is free to visit many mornings to help them get her mother out of bed, massage and exercise her arms and legs, change her diaper and dress and feed her.

Ms. Latshaw used to be full of life. She loved to cook, played tennis and bridge, raised two children and took charge of redecorating the grand old family home. Then her memory began to slip: guests would arrive for dinner, and she would have no memory of inviting them. She forgot to look before pulling into traffic, and nearly caused an accident. She would wander out of the house, and local store clerks would take her home. She never turned hostile or angry, as many demented patients do, but she had vivid hallucinations of strings being caught in her teeth, and little men getting into her bed and jabbing her with broom straws. On especially bad nights, her husband would get up with her at 2 or 3 a.m. and make the two of them hot chocolate.

Aricept, an Alzheimer’s drug, made the hallucinations worse, while another drug, an antipsychotic used for schizophrenia, seemed to quell them. But the second drug had side effects: after taking it for several years, Ms. Latshaw began to grind her teeth, and could not stop moving her arms and legs.

Their father also suffered from dementia, Ms. Hess said, admitting that she wonders about herself.

“Naturally I’m a little bit concerned, but I think worry is such a waste of time, so I don’t dwell on it; I just don’t,” she said. “My friends always said, ‘You always had a bad memory.’ I see Barbara and David’s children having that same kind of memory.”

Ms. Hess has volunteered for studies at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, where she became the first person in the United States to have a PIB study of her brain.

“I’m very anxious to get to the bottom of this whole Alzheimer’s thing,” she said.

Nothing Left to Give

In an interview in the summer of 2006, Ms. Kerley described her mother this way: “She’s completely withdrawn in herself. She hasn’t recognized us for a few years. Basically she hums one line of one song over and over again. She seems to be stuck somewhere in her life between age 4 and 5.”

Ms. Kerley said she and her son Michael, then 21, visited every week or two.

“She loves getting her back rubbed, being smiled at, being hugged,” Ms. Kerley said. “She doesn’t know who we are. We’re going for us, not for her, because she doesn’t remember us the minute we walk out the door.”

She had signed her mother up for hospice care at the nursing home, meaning that she would receive medical care to keep her comfortable but no extraordinary measures like resuscitation if she began to fail. She said her mother would not want to be kept alive in her present condition.

“She has nothing left to give the world, and the world has nothing left to give to her,” Ms. Kerley said.

Nearly a year and a half later, her mother is still alive, even though Ms. Kerley has declined liquid nutritional supplements, antibiotics and flu and pneumonia shots.

Her mother does not even hum anymore, and spends much of her time in a fetal position, except when she is at the dinner table. She can still walk, if led.

“If my mother had her own choice, she would have offed herself a long time ago,” Ms. Kerley said. “There is no quality to her life.

“When she does go, it will be a blessing.”

Ms. Kerley has already arranged to donate her mother’s brain and her own to Washington University. She seriously doubts that she will develop Alzheimer’s. She is more like her father than her mother, she said, and she is the most educated person in her family, reads constantly and stays in shape by swing dancing two to five nights a week. And her students keep her sharp.

“If you want to keep up with me until you retire, that’s fine,” she said. “I’m betting I’m not going to have that problem.”



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